Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 4.147622 4.931090 5.801909 6.838698 8.036413 9.373435 10.975713
2025-10-12 3.112078 4.146191 5.411499 7.061436 9.142507 11.665424 14.938950
2025-10-19 2.503895 3.665692 5.203297 7.359706 10.273449 14.037000 19.222210
2025-10-26 2.000212 3.183604 4.861335 7.366552 10.954840 15.841171 22.913658
2025-11-02 1.569281 2.700315 4.408955 7.109996 11.186124 17.002005 25.790319
2025-11-09 1.251128 2.315936 4.022048 6.863313 11.357699 18.042577 28.534799
2025-11-16 1.056572 2.089363 3.833807 6.875949 11.890231 19.621459 32.157237
2025-11-23 0.902001 1.899312 3.669661 6.892403 12.409604 21.200022 35.879249
2025-11-30 0.764611 1.712340 3.477995 6.827712 12.773081 22.543657 39.316149
2025-12-07 0.620164 1.481487 3.168784 6.508570 12.657969 23.084383 41.483984
2025-12-14 0.531915 1.347437 3.018892 6.454781 12.989454 24.376126 44.958768
2025-12-21 0.460774 1.235564 2.894117 6.428499 13.359333 25.749744 48.653607
2025-12-28 0.435393 1.225577 2.980522 6.835069 14.588788 28.747235 55.405764
2026-01-04 0.395211 1.172170 2.967000 7.037506 15.448156 31.150488 61.288144
2026-01-11 0.365962 1.140045 2.995057 7.328568 16.505807 33.989561 68.135695
2026-01-18 0.321537 1.058123 2.896542 7.333481 16.985626 35.782302 73.189320
2026-01-25 0.268728 0.940156 2.693055 7.077389 16.897919 36.481673 76.250882
2026-02-01 0.224814 0.836360 2.505979 6.831548 16.801134 37.145384 79.273459
2026-02-08 0.198992 0.781093 2.433067 6.844083 17.260890 38.936304 84.565323
2026-02-15 0.176610 0.731074 2.365629 6.860455 17.728080 40.770161 90.047286
2026-02-22 0.154179 0.674727 2.271111 6.796025 18.003104 42.223221 94.854086
2026-03-01 0.126869 0.592667 2.088269 6.478198 17.654788 42.339733 96.960444
2026-03-08 0.111067 0.548647 2.009380 6.424631 17.927090 43.793855 101.891530